Posts Tagged ‘epidemic’

In this talk from TED, Emily Oster a University of Chicago economist, looks at the stats on AIDS in Africa — and comes up with a stunning conclusion: Everything we know about AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa is wrong. We look for root causes such as poverty and poor health care — but we also need to factor in, say, the price of coffee, and the routes of long-haul truckers. In short, there is a lot we don’t know; and our assumptions about what we do know may keep us from finding the best way to stop the disease.

Emily’s talk is a good example of using inference from existing information and adopting a culture of critical thinking to challenge relevant issues and shape policies to deal with them.

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